Predictingfive Currencyexhchange Rates Using Five Different Learning Algorithms of Neural Network: a Case Study

نویسنده

  • Mina HadianNiasar
چکیده

One of the most important hopes in modern finance is finding the most accurate ways to forecast future values of exchange rates.The research provides some evidence about the efficiency of utilizing neural network models in forecasting foreign exchange rates. We used three distinct learning algorithms in our neural network models, namely,Scaled Conjugate Gradient (SCG), Standard Backpropagation (SBP), Bckpropagation with Bayesian Regularization (BPR), Gradient Descent with Momentum (GDM) and resilientBackpropagation (RB); which were used for Unites State Foreign Exchange to predict five diverse currencies against United State dollar. We chose four most important technical indicators based on the Forex experts' opinion to feed neural network models. Finally, a general comparison between neural network models and a BoxJenkins model (ARIMA) forecasting model based on the five performance metrics is offered.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Modeling and analysis of leishmaniasis distribution process using multilayer perceptron neural network and support vector regression (Case study: villages of Isfahan province)

Villages located in Isfahan province are one of the areas prone to the spread of cutaneous leishmaniasis, which is characterized by the occurrence of wounds on the skin. To predict the future prevalence of cutaneous leishmaniasis, Continuous monitoring of the spatial distribution of this disease is essential. Disease modeling was performed using two machine learning algorithms called support ve...

متن کامل

VMLP neural network design using optimization algorithms to predict spider suspend (Case Study: Watershed Dam Kardeh)

One of the most important processes of erosion and sediment transport in streams is the river most complex engineering  issues.this process special effects on water quality indices, action suburbs floor and destroyed much damage to the river and also into the development plans  Lack of continuity sediment sampling and measurement of many existing stations. due to the low number of hydrometric s...

متن کامل

Prediction of Breast Tumor Malignancy Using Neural Network and Whale Optimization Algorithms (WOA)

Introduction: Breast cancer is the most prevalent cause of cancer mortality among women. Early diagnosis of breast cancer gives patients greater survival time. The present study aims to provide an algorithm for more accurate prediction and more effective decision-making in the treatment of patients with breast cancer. Methods: The present study was applied, descriptive-analytical, based on the ...

متن کامل

Reinforcement Learning in Neural Networks: A Survey

In recent years, researches on reinforcement learning (RL) have focused on bridging the gap between adaptive optimal control and bio-inspired learning techniques. Neural network reinforcement learning (NNRL) is among the most popular algorithms in the RL framework. The advantage of using neural networks enables the RL to search for optimal policies more efficiently in several real-life applicat...

متن کامل

Reinforcement Learning in Neural Networks: A Survey

In recent years, researches on reinforcement learning (RL) have focused on bridging the gap between adaptive optimal control and bio-inspired learning techniques. Neural network reinforcement learning (NNRL) is among the most popular algorithms in the RL framework. The advantage of using neural networks enables the RL to search for optimal policies more efficiently in several real-life applicat...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2013